1. The spike in Eisenhower's share of the black vote in '56 I think was driven in part by Nixon pushing Ike toward at least some level of support for civil rights legislation (and eventually enforcing Brown). I also wonder what the educational split is--almost all the prominent civil rights leaders (Jackie Robinson, MLK, Sr. and Jr., Ralph Abernathy, etc.) supported Eisenhower. Then JFK's call to Mrs. King in 1960 changed everything.
2. The first campaign I remember was 1992, when it wasn't just Clinton winning most of the South, but both Senators were Democrats in AL, LA, TN, AR, and GA, all of whom were to the right of Doug Jones, to say nothing of Raphael Warnock or Jon Ossoff. Hell, even Gore was just four years removed from running for President as a pro-Hyde Amendment, pro-school prayer Democrat, conservative enough to get Rick Perry's endorsement. So like you said, a lot of this is overdue sorting into parties that actually align with values.
3. I wonder if the uptick in Black support for Trump in 2020 was the incumbency effect or the start of some greater shift away from Democrats. They've moved so sharply to the left on social issues, and survey data don't (sic) lie--after white evangelicals, Black Christians are the most socially conservative group. We won't know until November at least, but the Democrats have no margin for error to begin with given their coalition of Asian-Americans, over-educated white liberals (e.g., yours truly), and Black moderates.
This was very informative (and sobering!) ..and the chart you made IS attractive! I am actually printing out the maps in color and will have them for my students to discuss this morning!
Really good work here. A few thoughts:
1. The spike in Eisenhower's share of the black vote in '56 I think was driven in part by Nixon pushing Ike toward at least some level of support for civil rights legislation (and eventually enforcing Brown). I also wonder what the educational split is--almost all the prominent civil rights leaders (Jackie Robinson, MLK, Sr. and Jr., Ralph Abernathy, etc.) supported Eisenhower. Then JFK's call to Mrs. King in 1960 changed everything.
2. The first campaign I remember was 1992, when it wasn't just Clinton winning most of the South, but both Senators were Democrats in AL, LA, TN, AR, and GA, all of whom were to the right of Doug Jones, to say nothing of Raphael Warnock or Jon Ossoff. Hell, even Gore was just four years removed from running for President as a pro-Hyde Amendment, pro-school prayer Democrat, conservative enough to get Rick Perry's endorsement. So like you said, a lot of this is overdue sorting into parties that actually align with values.
3. I wonder if the uptick in Black support for Trump in 2020 was the incumbency effect or the start of some greater shift away from Democrats. They've moved so sharply to the left on social issues, and survey data don't (sic) lie--after white evangelicals, Black Christians are the most socially conservative group. We won't know until November at least, but the Democrats have no margin for error to begin with given their coalition of Asian-Americans, over-educated white liberals (e.g., yours truly), and Black moderates.
This was very informative (and sobering!) ..and the chart you made IS attractive! I am actually printing out the maps in color and will have them for my students to discuss this morning!